Avid Editor's Insights

H1N1 Is Back, and Scarier than Ever

Posted by ghostofsparta on August 31, 2009

UPDATE from AVID EDITOR:  The H1N1 vaccine is deadly. But you decide for your self. Even some left wing publications are saying it is more deadly  than the virus itself. Just be careful out there 😉

Crossposted from http://paranoidpyro8503.blogspot.com/2009/08/h1n1-is-back-and-scarier-than-ever.html

Yes folks, it’s that time of year again. Tomorrow begins September, and September brings many images to mind: Kids going back to school, return of the NFL, the beginning of fall, and of course deadly flu epidemics. What’s that? That last one doesn’t automatically spring to mind when you think of September? Give it a week. With kids going back to school/off to college, the H1N1 Swine Flu panic (remember that from back in April?) is about to rear its ugly head again. Why, just look at this headline from Foxnews.com:

Millions of kids, young adults and teachers are returning to classrooms and dorm rooms this week – prime real estate for the spread of H1N1 – and there’s still little agreement on how best to protect against the bug.

Now, they offer ideas for how to keep from getting this flu (or, you know….ANY flu) such as hand washing, flu shots, avoiding sick people, going to a doctor, etc. Now that article doesn’t do much justice to the level of fear and panic you’re supposed to have over this looming catastophe of mankind. For that, we must look elsewhere. Forbes online also has an article up about how to fight the flu, but this one gives better panic-inducing statistics:

Last week, the President’s Council of Advisors on Science and Technology, a group of the nation’s leading scientists and engineers, released a report on the H1N1 flu virus. The forecast seemed grim. A more aggressive mutation of the virus, they said, could infect 30% to 50% of the population, lead to as many as 1.8 million hospitalizations and cause between 30,000 to 90,000 deaths compared to the annual number of 36,000.

Holy ****! Now there’s the hysteria I’m looking for! 30%-50% of the US population (~300 million) would be between 90 million and 150 million infected with this nasty disease. We simply can’t let that happen! I mean, how cou….wait, what was that death total again? 30,000-90,000? Seriously? Assuming the worst case scenario, in which only 90 million are infected and 90 thousand die, that’s 1:1000 ratio of dead:infected. That means if the entire population were infected, only about 300,000 would die. That’s what passes for an epidemic these days? A pandemic that, worst case scenario, could potentially kill less people than the run of the mill flu (30k vs. 36k) is worth panic, hysteria, and shutting down schools and colleges? From the same Forbes article:

Yet to Dr. Philip Alcabes, an epidemiologist and professor at Hunter College School of Health Sciences in New York, the estimate is a “plausible scenario,” not a prediction. “Should the public be alarmed?” he says. “Absolutely not.” Besides, it’s impossible to know whether the virus will mutate until the day it happens.

The moral of the story: try to stay healthy. Wash your hands, try to avoid people with the flu, and see a doctor if you feel really ill. You know, the stuff most normal people do anyway. Consider this your PSA.

(As an ironic aside, as I wrote this piece, my computer’s anti-virus software went off, warning me of a possible infection)

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